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Francois Bayrou loses confidence vote, will tender resignation

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Bayrou’s fall and a divided parliament hardly offer the stability Macron needs – snap analysis

Angelique Chrisafis

Angelique Chrisafis

in Paris

Since Macron’s gamble of calling a snap election last June, the parliament remains divided between three groups – the left, the centre and the far right – none of which has a majority. This has created deadlock on economic policy and divisions over the most basic political task: setting a budget for 2026.

French president Emmanuel Macron, left, and prime minister Francois Bayrou attend a meeting at the Élysée Palace in Paris. Photograph: Tom Nicholson/AP

Bayrou fell because of his unpopular austerity budget to curb public debt. France must now urgently agree a budget for next year. But there is no certainty that any new prime minister chosen by Macron could achieve budget consensus or indeed escape being similarly ousted. Bayrou lasted barely nine months and, before him, the rightwing Michel Barnier was toppled after only three.

Even if Macron were to call another snap election – which is not his favoured choice with Marine Le Pen’s far-right National Rally leading in the polls – parliament could probably remain just as divided and deadlocked, without a clear majority.

Macron, whose presidency runs until 2027, might now chose a prime minister closer to the centre-left. But that would be difficult because the president refuses to budge on his economic agenda, dating from 2017, which has included tax cuts on businesses, scrapping the wealth tax and raising the pension age. All of these the Socialists want to roll back.

Macron might instead again look towards the centre right for a prime minister who could keep on board the rightwing Les Républicains party, which has propped up the minority government so far. But they would face the same budget rows.



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